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Latin America Enters the Final Quarter: 4 Factors Businesses Should Watch

Latin America and the Caribbean continue to demonstrate resilience in an increasingly complex global environment. However, regional growth remains moderate, while economic, financial and trade conditions present new challenges for businesses.

According to the World Bank’s October 2026 update, Latin America and the Caribbean’s GDP is projected to grow by 2.2% in 2026, compared with 2.4% in 2025. While this reflects a degree of resilience in the face of external shocks, economic performance remains uneven across the region.

As businesses enter the final quarter of the year, four factors should remain on their radar:

  1. Moderate regional growth

The 2.2% growth forecast reflects a region that remains stable but continues to face challenges in accelerating its expansion.

The World Bank highlights significant differences across economies: while some countries are achieving stronger growth, investment and business confidence, others continue to face structural constraints.

For businesses, this means that the performance of an economy does not necessarily reflect the financial situation of every company. Understanding the broader economic environment is important, but so is understanding the specific circumstances of each customer, supplier or business partner.

  1. Continued pressure on financial conditions

Elevated real interest rates and high levels of debt remain relevant factors across the region.

According to the World Bank, these conditions can constrain access to credit and investment, while volatility in energy prices could create additional inflationary pressures.

In this environment, liquidity and payment capacity become even more important when establishing commercial terms or extending credit to a counterparty.

  1. A changing international trade environment

The global environment is also reshaping investment and trade decisions across Latin America.

In its September 2026 publication, ECLAC highlights that the region is facing greater uncertainty and changes in U.S. trade policy. The organization emphasizes the importance of diversifying markets and strengthening regional integration to navigate this new environment.

These changes may create new opportunities for businesses, while also encouraging them to seek new customers, suppliers and business partners in markets that were previously outside their regular operations.

  1. Knowing your counterparties is becoming increasingly important

In an environment of change, risk does not only come from the economy or the market—it can also come from the company you are doing business with.

A company may operate in an attractive sector and in a country with positive economic prospects and still face financial deterioration, liquidity challenges, higher levels of debt or changes in its payment behavior.

For this reason, before extending credit, onboarding a new supplier or establishing a commercial relationship, having up-to-date information about a counterparty can help businesses better assess conditions and reduce uncertainty.

Looking Ahead to the End of 2026

The final quarter presents both opportunities and challenges for businesses across Latin America. In this environment, making decisions based solely on broad market outlooks may not be enough.

Knowing the companies you do business with can help turn information into better commercial decisions.

Financial, commercial and payment behavior information can be a valuable tool for managing risk and building stronger, more secure business relationships.

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